2020 will define Sri Lanka’s entire 21st Century story. Prosperity with the SLPP, or poverty under Ranil and Sirisena.
As the dust settles on the outcome of the no-confidence motion of April 4th, it is clear that on the face of it, nothing has changed. The illegitimate UNP-SLFP coalition which no one voted for continues to muddle its way from crisis to crisis.
Sirisena has refused to accept the resignations of the SLFP ministers who voted against Ranil. Sirisena’s actions on the eve of the no-confidence vote and afterwards show that his betrayal against the Rajapaksas in 2014 was the only betrayal he will commit. He is now wedded to Ranil and will never do anything to oppose or harm his partner. For his part, Ranil has even gone so far as to order his MPs to withdraw the counter-no-confidence motion his own side submitted against those same errant SLFP ministers. With this, the SLFP has finally arrived in the dustbin of history.
And so it is time to look forward to 2020. For me, “2020” is a catch-all term for the raft of policy decisions, political events, and elections that are due between now and the final stabilization of a new government. This process will probably take until late 2020 or early 2021 to complete. “2020” in the sense I use the term is not just about the year 2020 or the election due in that year, but is also about the shifts in the forces of history which will shape our destiny and reveal to us what the rest of this century will be like for Sri Lanka.
Ranil faces a no-confidence motion. The outcome doesn’t really matter. If he loses, we will be rid of him at last – but it might be even better for the long run if he clings on.
So, at long last, the day has come. After much struggle, stress and confusion, the No-Confidence Motion is upon us. In this article, I give you my take on what is going on, and why it doesn’t actually matter whether Ranil loses or survives.
What is a no-confidence motion?
“Confidence” in the political sense means that more than half of a country’s legislative body (parliament, senate, congress etc.) supports someone in the government of that country. Usually, the number of supporters required is 50% + 1 of the legislators – a simple majority. Also, no-confidence motions are normally brought to the floor only if the proponents feel that they have the number of votes required for it to pass.
In Sri Lanka, this means that the person whose confidence is being questioned needs 113 votes against the no-confidence motion – that is, 113 votes in favour of that person – in order to survive.
If the prime minister is not able to get the support of 113 members of the parliament, then he does not have the votes to pass any new laws or plans. Simply put, he is unable to lead the country.
Therefore, in most countries where a prime minister loses a no-confidence motion, that person will automatically resign. However, this being Ranil, even after the loss of a no-confidence vote, he may refuse to step down. In fact, many of his supporters are already saying that he doesn’t have to go. Continue reading “No Confidence”→
Dayan, Gotabhaya, and Homeland Security — “Smart Patriotism” is the stupidest thing to come out of Dr DJ’s brain (and since he’s a socialist, that’s really saying something!)
In February 2015, Dr Dayan Jayatilleka came out with the strange concept of “smart patriotism.” In the ensuing months and years, there has been much noise about this made-up phrase, coming from the whining zoo of incompetents that makes up Sri Lanka’s barely literate English language press.
What is “smart patriotism”? What is a “smart” patriot?
Dayan Jayatilleka does not really provide any definition for this term. He half-heartedly defines “smart patriotism” as being the opposite of yet another of his invented terms, “dumb patriotism.” In his original article, he says “smart patriotism” is a love of the country that is not nationalistic, not chauvinistic and also not “dumb.” Thus he just goes around in circles.
In response to this strange concept, there was a barrage of articles written by various people – terrorist sympathisers, socialists, and liberals alike. But in their counter-arguments, it was plain to see that they also had nothing of significance to contribute. What they wrote boiled down to nothing more than the usual knee-jerk, anti-Mahinda histrionics that was so common during the Rajapaksa administration.
They simply used the association between Dayan Jayatilleka and Mahinda to bash Mahinda as much as possible, and their attacks were even more vulgar than usual because this was happening in early 2015 when the Yahapalana was in its heyday – they took the opportunity to thoroughly attack Sinhalese culture, Sinhalese history, Buddhism, Gotabhaya, and the war against Tamil terrorism.
But let’s get back to the issue at hand, “smart patriotism.”
Having read the original article and subsequent rebuttals he made to his critics, I am none-the-wiser as to what exactly Dayan Jayatilleka is trying to say.
What he seems to be saying – “smart” patriots should love the country, stand up to the hypocritical condemnations of foreign nations, but must also be willing to admit to problems that really do exist – is exactly what patriots are supposed to do.
There is nothing “smart” about that. It is just logical. Patriots love Sri Lanka as the geographical, historical and spiritual embodiment of the Sinhalese race that settled on it, and of the Sinhalese Buddhists who were the first to build the one and only unique civilization found on the island.
Being a blind supporter of whatever happens in your country is called “idiocy,” not “dumb patriotism.” Being patriotic in the manner I have described in the paragraph above, is not “smart” anything, it is simply patriotism.
Furthermore, when citizens of Sri Lanka stand up against a foreign-backed terrorist insurgency, or against the present foreign-backed anti-Buddhist ruling regime, what they are doing is defending the legacy of our ancestors and protecting the great accomplishments of Mahinda and Gotabhaya who preserved that legacy. This is not “chauvinism,” or “nationalism.” It is patriotism.
What this whole nonsense of adding qualifiers to words such as “patriotism” which do not require such qualifiers reveals is only Dayan Jayatilleka’s obsession with himself and his own supercilious egoism. And the criticism levelled against his newest coined term “smart patriotism” is not against the stupidity of the phrase itself, but rather a cudgel with which the Colombo Telegraph-class anti-nationals and foreign suckers attack the country’s patriots. What a disgrace it is that leaders like Wimal Weerawansa and Udaya Gammanpilla are now also labelled as “smart patriots” by the small-minded traitors of the NGOs.
Dayan Jayatilleka often ends up doing more harm than good. To this day his self-professed crowning achievement appears to be his successful resolution at the UN Human Rights Circus shortly after the war in 2009. But that document held up the 13th Amendment as the answer to all of Sri Lanka’s problems, when in fact that Amendment was foisted upon us illegally, is therefore unconstitutional, and since it sows the seeds of separatism directly into the Constitution, it actually needs to be denounced and repealed.
In 2014, Dayan Jayatilleka came out to directly connect Gotabhaya Rajapaksa with the BBS thuggery that reared its evil head at that time. He complained loudly and bitterly that the BBS was a result of the Rajapaksa administration taking advice on post-conflict homeland security from the Israeli defence establishment.
See the vitriol with which he attacked Gotabhaya in 2014, in the video below:
2014: As the tide turned against the Rajapaksa Administration, based on an opposition campaign of lies and slander, a socialist in typical fashion betrays his side and starts blasting Gotabhaya, the man who saved the country.
So Gotabhaya is the “puppet” of Israel (“මෝඩ රූකඩ”), the “man who shaves his beard every morning and sees Netanyahu in the bathroom mirror,” while the “Aiya is for Palestine.” For trying to improve Sri Lanka’s security situation and secure the hard-won peace, Gotabhaya is accused of having become Occupied Territory of Israel, and apparently, might even surround Mahinda’s Presidential Palace just as Israel surrounded Yassir Arafat’s residence in Gaza.
Firstly there is no proof of Dayan Jayatilleka’s claims whatsoever, and secondly, it is well known that Singapore actually followed the advice of the Israelis in developing their own national defense strategy after the break away from Malaysia.
Dayan Jayatilleka often holds up Singapore as a model for Sri Lanka, but apparently he is against the homeland security concepts without which Singapore would have been swallowed up by its much larger and populous neighbors. Without this foundation of homeland security, Singapore would not have been able to develop and become the advanced nation it is today.
There is absolutely no logic in his argument against Gotabhaya. Gotabhaya did not, and Sri Lanka has never, invaded a foreign country. Creating settlements in the North and East, and/or establishing military bases there, is in no way the same as the invasion and occupation of Iraq, for example.
This sort of hare-brained bigotry and nonsensical table thumping makes one wonder the relevance of Dayan Jayatilleka in the 21st Century.
If you think about it, his educational and philosophical underpinning is Marxism and socialism. Have you ever seen him make any speech or write any article which does not mention Marx, Engels, Gramsci, Mao, or Lenin?
The fact that every socialist society that has ever been set up has always ended up killing its own citizens for the good of the “society” doesn’t seem to register with him. Look at Marxist (Maoist) North Korea and compare it with capitalist South Korea. Which one would you want to live in?
Sometimes, he mentions Castro. Look at Cuba today, see how poor and undeveloped it is. Look at Venezuela, a new-comer to socialism. It is home to one of the world’s largest oil reserves, but its citizens are resorting to Bitcoin to preserve their savings because the national currency is in free-fall and the economy has collapsed.
I think it needs to be repeated yet again: Socialism has been tested out all over the world throughout the 20th Century. It has failed. It cannot work. It brings only suffering to whichever society has tried it.
His obsession with socialism has totally clouded his judgement. Let us not forget that he was an early booster of Thisuri Wanniarachchi, an anti-Buddhist, anti-Sinhala harpie who is attempting to bring the latest version of socialism – Social Justice Warrior liberalism based on an anti-gender, anti-masculine, zealotry – to Sri Lanka via the Office of the President.
Back in 2014, Thisuri Wanniararchchi was a self-professed “liberal” and so her fictional story about a terrorist family became for Dayan Jayatilleka, “Sri Lanka’s best post-war novel…a road map to reconciliation and a manifesto for Sri Lanka’s government.” All this praise for someone who at the time didn’t even have a degree.
Really, what planet is Dayan Jayatilleka living on?
And now, in 2018 with the Rajapaksas making a come-back, Jayatilleka attends the SLPP events and gatherings, and today is even trying to burnish his “pro-Gotabhaya” credentials online:
It is sickening to see him sucking up to Gotabhaya now, after the way he attacked him back then. I would venture that the real Dayan Jayatilleka is the screaming monster we see in the video from 2014.
In 2017, when his anti-Gotabhaya speech was exposed, Dayan Jayatilleka had this to say:
Which begs the question, who the heck is this Marxist to pass judgement on the behavior, ability, suitability and soul of Gotabhaya Rajapaksa? It also begs the question, “Who died and made you God?”
In any case, it is Sirisena who is allowing Ranil to get away with all the treacherous activities such as selling national assets and starting up fake war crimes investigations. However, the big-mouthed Dayan Jayatilleka, so “brave” to attack Gotabhaya back then, today never even whispers the tiniest criticism of his new BFF Sirisena. Why so silent, Mr “credentials and legitimacy”? Wait, I mean, Dr “credentials and legitimacy”.
Returning to the video from 2014, one must ask: How can a decent man utter such filth against a National Hero?
It is completely fine to criticize anyone, but that outburst was no criticism.
Dayan Jayatilleka’s speech was dripping with envy and anger, filled with crude insults, personal attacks on Gotabhaya’s intelligence, and laced with innuendo about a possible illegal takeover of the state by a military apparatus led by the then Defense Secretary. It was the hate-filled bluster of a man who is vengeful, deceitful, and worst of all, someone who is thoroughly dishonest.
We really don’t need “patriots” like this, and as the old saying goes, with “friends” like this charlatan, Mahinda and Gotabhaya don’t need enemies.
Since Dayan Jayatilleka needs it to be spelled out directly, let me go ahead and give him a hand:
Patriotism is like freedom of speech. They are both absolutes. You either have the freedom to speak, or you don’t. There are no ifs, ands or buts about it.
Similarly, you are either a patriot or you are a traitor. There are no flavors or shades of patriotism.
We don’t need disloyal people like you who jump behind whoever is in power. There is no possible reality in which you can be considered a patriot. You are an obstacle at best, and a traitor at worst.
Now please, take your “smartness,” your quotes from socialist madmen like Mao and Marx, your “admiration” for the JVP, and your 20th Century thinking patterns, and leave us alone. It is the 21st Century and we have a country to rebuild.
Original article on “smart patriotism” accessible here.
Images from article here and from Facebook public page.
Dayan Jayatilleka’s response to being exposed as an anti-Gotabhaya agent here.
How those preaching good governance are just shills for a foreign extreme-left neocolonial agenda.
Let me start by asking you some very moderate, reasonable questions.
Isn’t rule of law good? Isn’t corruption bad? Isn’t ethnic harmony good? Isn’t racism bad? Isn’t trade good? Isn’t economic stagnation bad? Isn’t it better to have foreign allies? Isn’t it bad to be isolated? Isn’t development good? Isn’t debt bad?
Isn’t a fresh young leader good? Isn’t an old stale leader bad? Isn’t media freedom good? Isn’t censorship bad? Isn’t a small cabinet good? Isn’t a jumbo cabinet bad? Isn’t animal welfare good? Isn’t elephant abuse bad? Isn’t investigation of crimes good? Isn’t covering up crimes bad? Isn’t democracy good? Isn’t dictatorship bad?
Those who ask these questions seem very reasonable. Of course, all those things they list as being good, are good. And all those things they say are bad, are bad. What sensible citizen would want racism, or want to be sanctioned by foreign countries, or want criminals to go unpunished?
But when Sri Lankan “moderates” ask these reasonable questions, what they are really asking is this: Isn’t Ranil good? Isn’t Mahinda bad?
The British Empire dramatically changed Sri Lanka. The actions it took in Sri Lanka were only based on what would increase their power and wealth, and what would bring most benefits back home to the far away motherland. The legacy they left behind is mixed.
We have a system of laws, a parliament, and franchise-based governance which is derived from the British model. These are good things. However, the British Imperialists also planted the seeds of many of our current problems – these originate from the occupation period, but their persistence is our own fault.
The coup plotters who mobilized in 2014 to remove Mahinda Rajapaksa from power through the spread of baseless allegations, stirring up of communalism and racism throughout the country, and a well-orchestrated campaign of #FakeNews, are in a complete state of denial about the earthquake that happened on February 10th 2018.
They are coming up with all kinds of contrived mathematics, theories and other nonsensical blabber about why the Ranil-Sirisena regime must continue.
The most ludicrous is Mangala “18 billion dollar” Samaraweera’s claim that Rajapaksa’s vote share has decreased. If we add the 45% Mahinda received with the 15% the SLFP received, which is what will happen if a general or presidential election were to take place, then the SLPP will obtain at least 60%! But what do you expect from Mangala, a failed “tailor” who doesn’t have a higher education.
The path ahead for Sirisena and Ranil reveals no good options for them. Here are my projections.
Continue with the pre-February 10th arrangement: the UPFA MPs currently on the government benches could carry on, ignoring the fact that the party they represent no longer exists. With the general election campaign starting just 1 year from now, and the certainty of their defeat, it is unlikely that the UPFA are so blind as to go on this self-destructive path. –Low Probability.
Party reorganization: this entails the hard core anti-Mahinda UPFA MPs joining the UNP, along with Sirisena himself. A UNP majority government could then form, with support from the JVP and TNA. This would bring some degree of security to Sirisena and allow the apartheid-style anti-majority Ranil government to continue. –High probability.
However, importantly, they would be deprived of a 2/3 majority and so would not be able to enact any further policies which would damage the country. The ruling UNP regime would also lose all pretense of being a national government, and all their policies would be enacted without the semblance of inclusivity on which the “good government” circus relied for legitimacy.
The majority of the UPFA MPs would join the Joint Opposition. The UPFA would then become the Official Opposition and obtain the posts of Leader of the Opposition as well as Chief Opposition Whip. At the time of the next general election, the SLFP/UPFA would be liquidated, and the current UPFA MPs would contest under the SLPP banner.
Immediate dissolution: the parliament in its present form would respect the people’s damning verdict and would voluntarily pass a Bill to dissolve itself. This would entail respecting the citizens of the country and also would stabilize the country. As this is the most dignified and honorable option, it is the least likely path the UNP/JVP/TNA/SLMC/SLFP rogues will take.–Low probability.
Ranil has no intention of fighting yet another election campaign. He looks to be in terrible health, and recalling how exhausted he seemed at the end of the general election campaign in 2015, the thought of fighting again so soon after the disastrous local government polls must send shivers down his spine.
Furthermore, this path represents an existential threat to Sirisena because the electorate would return an overwhelming SLPP majority to the parliament, and as the new government, the SLPP would more likely than not activate impeachment proceedings against him.
All in all these these are three very bad options. Ranil and Sirisena are standing on a volcano of popular discontent, stuck between a rock and a hard place, while a giant tsunami of opposition is crashing down from above. This is what happens when those unfit and unable to lead are wrongly elevated to the highest offices in the land.
This local election was first and foremost a battle for the heart of the Sinhala patriotic movement. It was a battle for the soul, the true essence, of the SLFP — or more accurately, the party which was once known as the SLFP. It was never really about whether the UNP would get the most votes or not (which happily, they did not achieve despite all the delays and fudging going on, even as these words are typed).
What we have seen yesterday is the utter decimation of the SLFP. That once great party was formed as a patriotic counterbalance to the Imperialist-minded UNP. Sirisena, through desperation to cling to the power he is not fit for, decided to gift the SLFP right back into the hands of the UNP.
The Sinhala patriotic masses gave him a swift response. They went overwhelmingly back to their Appachchi. The resounding result for the SLPP was in fact a second declaration of Independence, this time against the neo-colonialist brown stooges who wormed their way into power through spreading false allegations against Mahinda and tried to return the country to servitude.
The people have spoken loud and clear. They reject the colonial-style witch hunts, the trumped up charges, and the vilification and harassment of their war winning leader Mahinda Rajapaksa and the war heroes who defeated the world’s most ruthless Tamil terrorists. They reject the destruction of the economy, the kowtowing to the former imperialists, and the snubbing of China. They reject the new constitution which would return the country to domination by a foreign-backed Christian minority. They reject the indignities that their nation, history, culture, and civilization have been subjected to for the past 3 years.
Sirisena, who absurdly claimed that he represented the Bandaranaike legacy just a day before the election, has suffered a total strategic defeat. The party he purportedly leads no longer exists. As such, the cabal of greedy UPFA MPs and ministers who still hang on to Sirisena have absolutely no mandate: again, their party does not exist.
There is literally no coming back from this.
The only logical action to take is the dissolution of parliament and a new general election.